The outlook for the restaurant industry worsened in September, as the National Restaurant Association’s comprehensive index of restaurant activity fell to a new record low. The association’s Restaurant Performance Index (RPI) – a monthly composite index that tracks the health of and outlook for the U.S. restaurant industry – stood at 96.7 in September, down 1.7 percent from August and its 11th consecutive month below 100.
“The September decline in the Restaurant Performance Index was the result of broad-based declines across the index components, with both the Current Situation and Expectations indices falling to record lows,” says Hudson Riehle, Senior Vice President of Research and Information Services for the Association. “Nearly two out of three restaurant operators reported negative same-store sales and traffic levels in September, while 50 percent expect their sales in six months to be lower than the same period in the previous year.”
“The rapid deterioration in economic conditions is reflected in operator sentiment, with a record 42 percent of restaurant operators saying the economy is currently the number-one challenge facing their business,” Riehle added. “Operators aren’t optimistic about the economy looking forward either, with 50 percent expecting economic conditions to worsen in six months.”
The RPI is based on the responses to the NRA's Restaurant Industry Tracking Survey, which is fielded monthly among restaurant operators nationwide on a variety of indicators including sales, traffic, labor and capital expenditures. The RPI consists of two components – the Current Situation Index and the Expectations Index. For more information, or a complete copy of the report, click here (warning: PDF link).




















